Belmont June 5th

[Cerveza]

Race 1
No real speed to speak of here. NAZONE showed a little in his last - if he improves at all off that he will be hard to catch. Wouldn't be surprised to see GOOD FOR ME or AP CREDIT running well at the wire.
The bet: $15 WP #4 $5 exacta 4/1,3

Race 2
Another race void of early speed. Perhaps Gryder will take GLITTER BABY to the front and if so, should have enough to hold 'em off late.
The bet: $15 WP #4

Race 3
Expecting it will be moved to the main track. Will hold off on any selection until scratches have been announced but PASKETTY has already got my interest.

Race 4
Hopefully the turf debacle will help the odds for SLEWADORA. Obviously, the Seattle Slew influence will help on the off going and Hennig is upgrading to Gryder here. I don't think even the wide post can stop her.
The bet: $15 WP #11

 

[Matt24]

looks good. you think a tri is worth a shot in the first race with your 3. if we get those 3 across, leaving the fav out, could be a nice payout. 4,1,3 and 4,3,1?

 

[Cerveza]

Up to you, buddy...you don't always have to play just what I list here. How about keying the 4 first and second, for instance? Or how about 4 with all with 1,3? Problem with playing these fancy exotic numbers is they can whittle your bankroll pretty quickly. I won't play a tri on this particular race because I don't feel real confident that all three of these horses will be around at the end. Obviously I think the 4 will be - but I chose the other two on value, thinking they have a better chance to land in the money than their odds will indicate. Good luck.

 

[Matt24]

I went ahead and took a shot at $5 on each, you and mazel and that guy in the rubber room have helped me win over 900 in the last 12 days, so figured I might take a shot, liked it better when we had the 20/1 involved though.

 

[Matt24]

looks like the value has returned, up to 24/1, is there anyway to estimate tri payouts?

 

[Cerveza]

Race 3
HIT RECORD showed speed in the mud at Keeneland but the duel was too taxing on him. Shows a steady set of works since and is likely to improve. SIRCHARLESSCHNABEL is difficult to bet on name alone, but looks to be in great shape and has my boy Chavez. ALAJWAD has the connections and being by Storm Cat will love the track, but I fear he has no speed and will be left with too much to do today.
The bet: $1 tri 7/4/all & 7/all/4 $20 WP #7

 

[Matt24]

Saw this just in the nick of time with 3MTP, good thing I got on brisbet or I would have missed out. Thanks

 

[Cerveza]

Race 5
Hushion seems to have a very, very good colt in PRESENCE. Even the rough start didn't keep him from winning off the bench. Probably a gift to keep him in with NY breds. JOHN'S JOY is another who has done virtually nothing wrong in his short career. Could these two possibly duel each other to death? Not unless there is a 3rd horse trying to make the lead - enter LOOKING GRAND. If Santos goes fast early, the set-up for my main man Mr. Chavez on POLISH JEWEL will be ideal. I'm crossing my fingers.
The bet: $15 WP #3 $5 ex box 3/7,8